chanel wallet 2013: 十一月 2013

2013年11月21日星期四

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Marty Peretz, the editor-in-chief of the New Republic–which contains some excellent reporting by writers who must be embarrassed–has grown increasingly bitter about President Obama.gucci outlet online Indeed, the bitterness tracks perfectly with the President’s insistence that Israel freeze its settlements. And now, Peretz has deigned to deliver a diagnosis of the President’s mental illness… So this question arises: If Obama could not get Chicago over the finish line in Copenhagen, which was a test only of his charms, how will he persuade Tehran to give up its nuclear weapons capacity or the Arabs, to whom he has tilted (we are told) only tactically, to sit down without their 60 year-old map as guide to what they demand from Israel. What I suspect is that the president is probably a clinical narcissist. This is not necessarily a bad condition if one maintains for oneself what the psychiatrists call an “optimal margin of illusion,” that is, the margin of hope that allows you to work.fake gucci shoes But what if his narcissism blinds him to the issues and problems in the world and the inveterate foes of the nation that are not susceptible to his charms? To which one can only say: On what basis? This fits too neatly into a meme that neoconservatives–more than the right-wing populists–have been rehearsing since the summer of 2008: Obama is a show pony. He’s a celebrity. He’s the Messiah (according to Norman Podhoretz, in the Wall Street Journal recently). He’s The One.louis vuitton handbags for sale This makes it convenient whenever Obama does fail for his opponents to say: AHA! So he’s not The Messiah, after all….and any failure, as we’ve seen, leads to the inevitable–he’s collapsing! All nonsense, of course, as the jury is still very much out. Friday was a dismal day for the President–the jobs numbers, Copenhagen and so forth. And the economy is, I’d guess, a bit more shaky than the recent Wall St.replica gucci shoes runup may make it seem. But Obama is having a pretty good autumn, after an absent August. The Iran talks went better than expected–and may actually prove a breakthrough, if the Iranians make good on their pledge to send their enriched fuel overseas for processing. ?And Obama has gotten closer to passing a unversal health care plan than any President in history, with the likelihood of some sort of success growing daily.handbags louis vuitton (The fact that Dr. Bill Frist, former Republican Senate Majority, told Karen Tumulty that he’d vote for the bill is no small deal.) There are solid philosophical arguments that can be made against what Obama is doing. There are strong arguments that can be made either way on Afghanistan.louis vuitton replica ?I still think the various health care proposals place too much of a burden on an already strapped private sector. But Peretz–allegedly the impresario of one of our most distinguished journals of liberal thought–is making none of those. He is indulging in standard Likudnik name calling–Israel good, Iran eeeee-vil–and indulging in the neoconservative efforts to create a Straw Messiah. I don’t mind when Peretz, or anyone, goes off the liberal reservation–so long as his argument is carefully reasoned.chanel handbags for sale I’ve been known to be flagrantly “unreliable” myself…and the Left has been known to be disastrously wrong, from time to time. But at a moment when Israel is intransigent on an important element of Middle Eastern peace–freezing the settlements–and Iran is showing some flexibility in the nuclear talks, Peretz’s name-calling and long-distance psychiatry seems the behavior of a brat who isn’t getting his way. It would be sad if he weren’t so vicious.
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Or, in Senator Ensign??s case, what happens in Washington and is sent back home to Nevada.gucci handbag for sale Both Senators from the Silver State are increasingly deep political doo-doo, though for vastly different reasons. And one??s scandal may end up helping the other. As Glenn Thrush noted last week, rarely does a single political story sway the fates of a politician, but the New York Times story on John Ensign by Eric Lichtblau and Eric Lipton last Friday is one of those pieces. Ensign??s affair, and more importantly, the cover up, raises all kinds of legal and ethical questions not just for the Senator and his staff but for several key G.louis vuitton beltsO.P. fundraisers in Nevada. Depending on the breadth of the scandal and the timing of the investigations, it could hobble the Nevada Republican Party just as it gears up to take down Harry Reid.louis vuitton backpack for sale As David Chalian and Rick Klein noted on today’s Top Line on ABC, before his scandal Ensign had been acting as de facto head of a state party already in the mud. Nevada Governor Jim Gibbons, a Republican, has been tainted by a series of scandals between allegedly groping waitresses, an affair and a messy divorce that has aired all kinds of conflicts of interest. Even if Ensign ?? and his own leadership is refusing to support him ?? were to step down a Gibbons appointee would be contaminated from the get-go and would likely make the situation worse. Reid, the Senate Majority Leader, has got problems of his own.louis vuitton handbags for sale He??s about as popular as George W. Bush was on his last day of office ?? hovering just above 30%. Not exactly the best time to put your name and face to massive, controversial health care legislation (remember Tom Daschle’s loss when he was majority leader to John Thune?). ?Reid has raised a ton of money for his reelect — and has set a daunting goal of $25 million for the cycle — but last week got the bad news that he??s facing a serious candidate, former GOP State Chairwoman Sue Lowden.fake chanel shoes Lowden??s a much bigger threat than Reid??s other two challengers ?? a former Miss America runner up and the son of a cheating football basketball coach (only in Nevada, right?) ?? both of whom who are out polling Reid. Lowden, though, faces the ball and chain of her state party: already Dems are questioning her close ties to Ensign and challenging her to disavow him. Like many senators from opposite parties but representing the same state, Reid and Ensign have a mutual non-aggression pact. Which is why you don??t see Reid calling for a Senate Ethics Panel investigation of Ensign (it was Barbara Boxer who confirmed the investigation yesterday on CNN??s ??State of the Union??).louis vuitton handbags for sale And why you don??t see Ensign out there slamming Reid every day on bailouts, health care, global warming, stimulus, financial reg reform, etc. But, in the end, Ensign??s doo-doo is much deeper than Reid??s and — between him and Gibbons — could end up drowning Lowden and any credible opposition in it.
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It is always good to remember that our troops–and those of our allies–in Afghanistan are fighting a new sort of war, according to a strategy (Counterinsurgency) that emphasizes humanity over brutality, and that many of those who are killed are involved in the provision of basic services like clean water and sewage, transportation and new schools.louis vuitton outlet online ?Michael Crowley memorializes one of the fallen.
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2013年11月20日星期三

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“Ultimately, I’m a lobbyist for freedom,” a man in a yarmulke tells a pretty girl in the basement of a cavernous Marriott in northwest Washington.fake louis vuitton shoes The man could have been attempting to network or to flirt — a seminar on how to date conservatives had just wrapped up down the hall — but either way, the description seemed perfectly pitched to the frequency of CPAC, the annual confab at which conservatives converge on the town they love to hate to hobnob with political celebrities, nurture their contacts and bemoan the ruinous state of the Republic over a drink or four. Everyone is a friend of freedom here. Nobody is a friend to Barack Obama. On these matters, they can all agree.gucci outlet online And that’s often all they can agree on. CPAC’s thousands of attendees are a reminder of the vast array of parochial interests cohabiting under the conservative tent: business groups and birthers, social conservatives and survivalists, deficit hawks and neocons. The large contingent of college kids tends to lend the event, now in its 39th year, the feel of a bacchanal. This year is a little different.fake uggs If the conservative movement has sizzled in the age of Obama, the specter of a Mitt Romney Administration leaves much of the crowd here cold. “We’re all divided. We’re not really excited about any of the candidates,” says Brendan Steinauser, the director of federal and state campaigns for FreedomWorks, the D.C.cheap gucci belts-based Tea Party organization. Three remaining contenders will arrive tomorrow, when Romney, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum will all address the throngs. (Ron Paul, the two-time defending champion of the CPAC straw poll, decided to sit the event out.) (MORE: Santorum Stuns Romney with Three-State Sweep, Stealing Momentum in GOP Race) News does break at CPAC — in 2008, Romney used the forum to announce he was suspending his campaign — but little of it trickled out in the opening act of the three-day event.fake louis vuitton Thursday was reserved for congressional stars (Marco Rubio, Jim DeMint, Rand Paul, Paul Ryan) and the presidential candidates whose dreams have already died. Michele Bachmann told the crowd the process of running for President was “one series of humiliations after another.” Rick Perry said his own campaign “just ran out of time.” And Herman Cain, whose 15 minutes may never end, embraced a fleeting star of the last presidential cycle by announcing his endorsement of Joe the Plumber’s congressional campaign.ugg boots outlet (Neither Cain nor Perry, Gingrich endorsers both, mentioned the former House Speaker’s name during their addresses.) If the formal speeches were a litany of familiar conservative tropes, the seminars and exhibitions served up CPAC’s strange brew of energetic evangelism, education and self-promotion. In a warren of basement rooms, scores of conservative organizations set up booths to hawk literature, build their e-mail databases or spread the word about new startups. Attendees could shoot virtual trap at an NRA booth, sign up for graduate studies, or buy faded Nixon and Goldwater campaign buttons at a table of vintage paraphernalia.ugg boots outlet There were also giveaways galore. Google handed out sunglasses. American Crossroads distributed Twix bars. Those who signed up for an e-mail list were entitled to a “Team Boehner” beer koozie.louis vuitton shoes replica Someone handed out “Tebow for President” decals. “I love Chuck Norris! I just love him!” gushed a girl clutching a card inscribed with the face of the septuagenarian conservative icon. Nearby were ads touting a one-night-only showing of a movie by Kirk Cameron, the Growing Pains star-turned Christian evangelist, and one based on Dinesh D??Souza??s book that argued Obama??s policies should be understood through the prism of his ??Kenyan, anticolonialist?? leanings. At the booth of the American Society for the Defense of Tradition, Family and Property ?? an outfit that is based out of Spring Grove, Penn.louis vuitton belts, claims 200,000 members and screened a film that asked God to ??protect us from the homosexual agenda,?? a man wore what appeared to be red shawl over his shoulder. ??It??s our cape,?? says James Bascom, a spokesman for the group. ??It??s a symbol that captures our admiration for chivalry and knighthood.?? (MORE: Was Tuesday Night Really So Terrible for Mitt Romney?) In another corner, a new website called Procinctu (Latin translation: prepared for battle), which advises Americans to stockpile precious metals, raffled off a free half-ounce silver coin (estimated worth: $20) to anyone willing to sign up for their distribution list.fake ugg boots “We’re basically about self-empowerment,” says Travis Englert, Procinctu’s founder, says of the site, which warns customers about topics ranging from the agribusiness giant Monsanto to the ravages of fiat money. “I knew 10,000 people would be here. It’s a good way to get my feet wet,” he says. “Just to get the message across.louis vuitton replica Because people are pretty dumb.” Some of CPAC’s programming tiptoes along a murky line between earnest ideology and coded fear-mongering. Alongside the seminars on conservative dating — “how to avoid scaring away your own personal Dagney Taggart in the first five minutes,” taught by a professional pickup artist — and the Arab Spring were discussions of nullification and the Obama EPA’s record on green jobs. After a kerfuffle last year, the gay Republican group GOProud is no longer welcome, but a discussion on the problems posed by multiculturalism featured two panelists with ties to white-nationalist movements.replica louis vuitton This is the exception rather than the rule. Much of CPAC’s speeches are de riguer conservative boilerplate, and much of its exhibition hall is given over to the unglamorous business of publicizing one’s political cause, whatever that may be. Take FreedomWorks. In the absence of enthusiasm for any of the remaining presidential candidates, the group has swung its focus to touting congressional candidates and legislative action — such as right-to-work laws — in statehouses across the U.louis vuitton handbags for saleS. “For us, it’s about taking back the Senate. It??s about local and state races for now,” Steinhauser says. (MORE: Mitt Romney’s Sweet Spot: Just Conservative Enough) It??s also about dispelling the idea that spreading liberty is a fusty business.fake uggs ??There??s this perceived notion that the Tea Party is not young, and it really is,?? says campaigns coordinator David Spielman, one of several FreedomWorks staffers clad in black “This Ain’t Your Grandma’s Tea Party” shirts and encouraging spectators to join them in a makeshift dance routine. ??We??ve got all races. We??ve got all ages. Liberty is a young idea.replica louis vuitton It??s a hip idea.?? Onlookers nodded their heads. After all, at CPAC everyone is a lobbyist for freedom.
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Iowa’s Democratic Attorney General Tom Miller is known for taking on big business.louis vuitton speedy Elected to eight four-year terms, he led a multi-state anti-trust case against Microsoft in 2001 and filed a suit against 79 drug companies in 2007, alleging they illegally profited by inflating prices for drugs purchased through Medicaid. Most recently, Miller took the lead on the investigation by all 50 state attorneys general into the ??robo-signing?? foreclosure scandal, where several big banks allegedly approved taking away people??s homes without adequately verifying the facts in court, as required by law in some states. Last fall, just after he made the announcement that he would look into the foreclosure mess, contributions to Miller??s campaign coffers for November’s election soared, thanks in large part to out-of-state lawyers who make a living representing big banks, a new report from the National Institute for Money in State Politics finds. ??Nearly half of the money Miller raised in 2010,?? NIMSP reports, ??was donated after the October 13 announcement that he would be coordinating the 50-state attorneys general investigation.louis vuitton handbags for sale?? Two Miller contributors have become directly involved in defending the banks in the probe. One, Meyer Koplow of Wachtell Lipton in New York, gave Miller $5,000 and is representing Bank of America in direct negotiations with Miller, the attorney general tells TIME. Another, Elizabeth McCaul of Promontory Financial Group, gave Miller $10,000 and is consulting Bank of America in the negotiations, Miller says. Bank of America was one of the first and most prominent institutions accused in the foreclosure investigation.cheap gucci belts It gave more than $80,000 to the Democratic Attorney Generals Association, which spent more than $200,000 on Miller’s campaign, Miller says. Miller says Kaplow and McCaul are old friends and professional associates, and that they were not working for Bank of America before election day. He says neither has discussed the campaign contributions with him since they began work for the bank. The NIMSP report and revelations of campaign contributions by those working for Bank of America come at a sensitive moment, as Miller is in the thick of far-reaching negotiations with the banks.gucci handbag for sale Though the case started as an investigation into robo-signing, it has broadened. The talks are aimed at a settlement that could set the terms by which banks service current and future home loans, and determine how they foreclose on properties. That could complement, or supercede, a settlement between banks and federal regulators reached earlier this year. Talks over monetary aspects of a potential settlement between the AGs and the banks are just getting under way.fake louis vuitton shoes?New rules for banks writing down mortgage principal and the establishment of a bank-paid fund to help with loan modification are on the table. Some reports have potential bank payments reaching $20 billion but sources on both sides suggest that number is high. The breadth of the negotiations has caused seven Republican attorneys general to split with the 43 other AGs. In early March, American Banker published a 27-page term sheet that Miller and the other attorneys general had presented to the banks in the talks.fake louis vuitton ??We??ve had negotiations and have agreement on some of the terms but no overall agreement,?? Miller says. Miller objects strongly to the NIMSP report. ??It is extremely false and misleading,?? Miller says. He disputes the report??s assertion that many of his campaign contributors have a ??vested interest in the final terms of the settlement.louis vuitton backpack for sale?? Other than Koplow and McCaul, none of the other lawyers named as campaign contributors in the report are involved in the case and none has an interest in the settlement, Miller says. Miller also says the report commits ??an omission of material fact?? in its description of his fundraising by comparing 2010 fundraising to prior races. ??This race was unlike any race I??d been in before,?? Miller says. ??It was a race where the other side had $2.replica chanel shoes2 million. The most any of us ever spent in this race before was $300,000 or $350,000,?? he says. Miller says he didn??t have a competitor in 2006 and that in 2010 he and his supporters eventually raised and spent around $1 million. Kevin McNellis, the author of the report, says the fact that he compared 2010 to 2006 without mentioning that there was no competitor in that race was ??an oversight on my part.ugg boots outlet?? Though the report argues that the campaign contributors’ interest in the outcome of the settlement of the foreclosure investigation is ??vested,?? which means ??guaranteed?? or ??unconditional,?? McNellis says he does not know which individuals or firms are directly involved in negotiations. But McNellis asserts that, ??When they were contributing last fall, I??m sure that it was something they were very keenly aware of, that Miller was leading the investigation.” They would have an interest in the outcome, McNellis says, ??even if they weren??t directly involved in the negotiations.?? Neither McCaul nor Koplow would comment for this story.louis vuitton backpack for sale
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Those of you who have read our previous coverage of the back and forth between the state attorneys general and five major mortgage servicers know that the settlement announced on Thursday is a massive, complicated, multi-year deal negotiated by the country??s most ambitious public prosecutors, its most powerful financial institutions and some of the highest-paid lawyers in New York City.louis vuitton shoes replica There are several levels to judge it on: the help it gives homeowners; its benefit for various political players; and what it may do for the economy. But overall, it??s a clear win for Obama and Democrats, a qualified win for the banks, and a minor, belated victory for homeowners. On the surface it may seem like a windfall for some homeowners. Banks are going to be sending checks for $1,500 to $2,000 to up to a million people who were kicked out of their houses and have claimed that ??servicing abuse?? occurred during the process.louis vuitton shoes replica The payouts will be nearly instantaneous????we don??t read anything, it??s check the box,?? says one state AG negotiator. And while that money isn??t going to make much difference to someone who lost their house years ago, it certainly can??t hurt a struggling family–or, for that matter, Obama and his party in an election year. Furthermore, you??ll hear Obama aides say that the deal represents the biggest principal write down since the housing collapse. That??s a modest statement, since government programs aimed at encouraging principal write downs have fallen way short of their initial targets.fake louis vuitton shoes But being able to make the claim is convenient for Obama’s re-election effort. (PHOTOS: The Tale of a Lost Mortgage) The $25 billion price tag on the deal is deceptive. Only $3 billion of the total will go to reduce the interest rates paid by homeowners with loans larger than the current value of their house. More important, only those who are current on their loans will qualify for any of that new money: if you??ve missed payments, you don??t qualify.louis vuitton neverfull Which means that only those who can still afford to pay the higher rates on their houses will get relief from this part of the fund. Why do the banks get credit for reducing interest rates only for people who are already capable of paying higher ones? Beats me. At the same time, the deal may provide more money than the $25 billion figure suggests in principal reductions for close to two million current and former homeowners. The banks have to pay out at least $17 billion in principal reduction or they will face stiff financial penalties.replica chanel shoes Some of that $17 billion may go to delinquent homeowners, but the banks can work it off in other ways, and the majority of the pay downs will not be dollar-for-dollar. Principal reduction for first and second liens and third-party holders of mortgages are all counted against the $17 billion at different levels??some are dollar-for-dollar, others only count 50 cents to the dollar, and so on. Banks can also work off the $17 billion by giving money to anti-blight projects like land banks and other measures aimed at turning local housing markets around. That means the banks could end up writing down or funding as much as $35 billion in housing fixes.replica gucci shoes (MORE: How ‘Shadow Inventory’ Is Killing the Housing Market) After$17 billion goes to principal reduction and $3 million for interest rate reduction, the remaining $5 billion will go to state governments to fund local programs like mortgage counseling and legal aid to help struggling homeowners. Will all this help the economy? Maybe. The settlement will affect only a sliver of an estimated 11 million homeowners who are now collectively more than $700 billion underwater, a huge debt burden that hangs like an anchor around the neck of the economy. Banks may feel better after the deal, though.loui vuitton For years they have moaned that they can??t start lending until they know how much liability they face in the wake of the mortgage meltdown. Thursday’s deal will lift the ??cloud of uncertainty that??s hanging over our housing market,?? says Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan, by implementing ??a single strong set of servicing standards.?? (MORE: Obama vs. the Church) What started as settlement talks for robo-signing became a huge negotiation over how past, present and future mortgages will be serviced by the big five banks, and the settlement gives some assurance to those institutions about what their exposure to prosecution from the government will be.louis vuitton handbags for sale The agreement releases the banks from claims tied to past servicing foreclosure, robo-signing claims and, most significantly, originating claims. The AGs argue that the originating claims??that is, claims against the banks for making massively irresponsible housing loans to begin with??are all out of date anyway. ??The bad originators went out of business four years ago,?? says one official close to the deal. And the statute of limitations has run out on many of the originations anyway, the AGs say.louis vuitton handbags for sale So, was the mortgage fraud settlement worth years of negotiation? If you’re Obama or the bankers, probably. If you’re a homeowner, maybe a little. But don’t expect it to accelerate by much the slow recovery in the housing market.
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2013年11月19日星期二

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0 minutes.louis vuitton handbags for sale TV Guide lists a new episode of Fear Factor at 9 p.m. on NBC. It??s called ??Leaches & Shaved Heads & Tear Gas, Oh My! Part 1.fake uggs?? And yet, as the hour strikes, the screen shows another patriotic montage, this time from Tampa, introducing the 18th Republican debate. The NFL plays a 16-game regular season. There are nine circles of hell. God got it done in six days.louis vuitton neverfull But democracy is unrelenting, a bit like Joe Rogan, with less forced regurgitation and fewer critter challenges. Which is to say, Fear Factor has been preempted. A fearful nation takes its place. 2 minutes.fake louis vuitton Blue gels on the audience again, like Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?, except there will be no ??dum-dum-dum,?? at least when it comes to sound effects. Brian Williams, the handsomest man to have never been a movie star, is not wasting any time. He lists a lot of bad stuff that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has been saying about former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. ??Erratic,” “failed leader,?? it goes on.ugg boots outlet ??Your response tonight, Mr. Speaker??? 3 minutes. Gingrich responds by reciting his r辿sum辿, with extra emphasis on confusing historical analogies that only he knows. He says President Reagan carried ??more states than Herbert Hoover carried ?? than Roosevelt carried against Herbert Hoover.handbags louis vuitton?? As is often the case with Gingrich, his words form a shield. By the time he gets to ??They’re not sending somebody to Washington to manage the decay,?? it??s impossible to remember what was asked. (PHOTOS: Political Pictures of the Week) 4 minutes. A wide shot shows Romney standing there, next to Gingrich, with his right hand hanging at his side, ready to draw.handbags louis vuitton But dapper Williams tries again with Gingrich, which allows the former Speaker to continue to take credit for everything good that happened during his decades in the House. ??When I was Speaker, we had four consecutive balanced budgets, the only time in your lifetime, Brian, that we’ve had four consecutive balanced budgets.” This is not true. The four years of surplus ran through 2001.replica gucci shoes Gingrich resigned from office in 1999. Newt gets 2 out of 4. If this were a history class, he would fail. 5 minutes.louis vuitton neverfull Romney gets his chance. ??I think it’s about leadership,?? he says, ??and the Speaker was given an opportunity to be the leader of our party in 1994. And at the end of four years, he had to resign in disgrace.?? This is the same Mitt Romney who said in the last debate that he wished he had spent more time attacking President Obama and less time attacking his rivals.handbags louis vuitton Romney calls Gingrich an ??influence peddler,?? says he encouraged cap and trade and called Paul Ryan??s budget plan ??social engineering.?? (PHOTOS: The Rich History of Mitt Romney) 6 minutes. Gingrich, doing his best imitation of Romney, from when Romney was the front runner, acts like he is too big a deal to worry about the criticism. ??Well, look, I’m not going to spend the evening trying to chase Governor Romney’s misinformation,?? he says, adding that he would rather be attacking Obama.louis vuitton handbags for sale ??I just think this is the worst kind of trivial politics.?? 8 minutes. Williams still looks like how every 1940s radio-drama detective sounded. He asks Romney whether he can appeal to conservatives.fake uggs Romney says he does, and pivots. ??Let’s go back to what the Speaker mentioned with regard to leadership,?? Romney says. He notes that Gingrich was the first Speaker in history to resign. ??I don’t think we can possibly retake the White House if the person who’s leading our party is the person who was working for the chief lobbyist of Freddie Mac,?? he adds.chanel outlet 9 minutes. Romney says almost exactly what Gingrich said after Iowa: that the last election taught him he can??t sit back. He has to go on offense. ??I had incoming from all directions, was overwhelmed with a lot of attacks.louis vuitton belts And I’m not going to sit back and get attacked day in and day out without returning fire,?? Romney says. The two men have traded strategies since South Carolina. Or bodies. Gingrich is now aloof and focused on the general.gucci handbag for sale Romney is trying to muddy the field. 10 minutes. Gingrich returns fire with a couple of zingers: ??He may have been a good financier,?? he says of Romney. ??He’s a terrible historian.louis vuitton handbags for sale?? So is Gingrich. (See minute 4.) Then Gingrich proceeds to respond to a lot of stuff he just said he would not waste his time talking about. He tells a rosy version of his fall from the top of the House that would not please his fellow historians.replica chanel shoes ??Apparently, your consultants aren’t very good historians,?? Gingrich tells Romney. ??What you ought to do is stop and look at the facts.?? The intellectual insult. A classic Gingrich move.fake uggs Like, I know you are, but what am I? (WATCH: Breaking Down Mitt Romney’s 14% Tax Rate) 11 minutes. Debonair Williams, he of the slender face and half-Windsor knot, throws it to former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, who has apparently been onstage this entire time. How, asks Williams, is Santorum going to win? Santorum hits his stump speech, saying he is positive and that this is not a two-person race. 14 minutes.louis vuitton replica There is actually a fourth person onstage as well. Texas Representative Ron Paul gets a question that is basically this: You have no chance of winning, you said you don??t envision yourself in the Oval Office, so will you run as a third-party candidate? Paul says he has been winning the under-30 vote and otherwise doing ??pretty darned well.?? Then he calls out the historian on his rosy history about giving up the Speaker??s gavel. ??This idea that he voluntarily reneged and he was going to punish himself because we didn’t do well in the election, that’s just not the way it was.chanel outlet?? True that. Then Paul says, once again, that he has ??no plans?? to go third party. 17 minutes. Gingrich gets a question about Paul.fake gucci shoes Gingrich praises Paul for his criticism of the Federal Reserve and desire for a ??gold commission,?? which is nothing like a blue-ribbon panel. It would study bringing back gold as currency. 18 minutes. Romney says he will release his tax returns for two years on Tuesday morning.louis vuitton neverfull But again, he gets tongue-tied. Rich people don??t like to talk about their own money. It is impolite. So Romney says, ??The real question is not so much my taxes, but the taxes of the American people.louis vuitton neverfull?? Suddenly, out of nowhere, Romney, who previously opposed any debt compromise that raised any taxes, is praising the Bowles-Simpson plan, which raises tax revenues by nearly $1 trillion. But Romney doesn??t talk about the deficit part. He talks about the cutting marginal rates part, which by itself would make the debt problem worse. He chastises Obama for having ??simply brushed aside?? the Bowles-Simpson recommendations, in much the same way that Romney previously did.replica gucci shoes 20 minutes. More discomfort, as Romney is asked again to talk about his money. ??I pay all the taxes that are legally required and not a dollar more,?? he says. ??I don’t think you want someone as the candidate for President who pays more taxes than he owes.chanel outlet?? Now that is settled. 21 minutes. Gingrich tries to needle Romney by saying he wants everyone to enjoy Romney??s 15% tax rate. Romney points out that under the Gingrich tax plan, investment gains would be taxed at zero.replica louis vuitton ??Under that plan, I’d have paid no taxes in the last two years,?? Romney says. This is true. It is the reason Gingrich??s policies are better for wealthy financiers than Romney??s policies. Romney would keep his own tax rate on investments at 15%.replica louis vuitton (PHOTOS: Newt Gingrich’s Life in Pictures) 22 minutes. More awkward talk about Romney??s wealth. ??I will not apologize for having been successful. I did not inherit what my wife and I have, nor did she.louis vuitton handbags for sale What we have, what I was able to build, I built the old-fashioned way, by earning it,?? he says. This is true, if you discount the fact that his father??s money helped put Romney through college (Brigham Young, Stanford) and earn joint degrees at Harvard (Law, Business). 25 minutes. Now it??s time to talk about what lobbying means.fake ugg boots Gingrich worked for lobbyists at Freddie Mac, a quasi-government agency that conservatives despise. He also took lots of money from health care companies while at the same time writing articles and giving talks that furthered those companies’ agendas in Congress. But technically none of it was lobbying, which is a legal term of art. Williams asks the right question, by avoiding the L word.fake louis vuitton shoes ??You never peddled influence, as Governor Romney accused you of tonight??? Gingrich can??t answer. ??You know, there is a point in the process where it gets unnecessarily personal and nasty,?? he says, before avoiding the question by saying he never lobbied. 28 minutes. Romney and Gingrich go at it.fake louis vuitton shoes Romney accuses Gingrich of profiting from an organization that destroyed the housing market in Florida. Gingrich tries to compare his consulting work for lobbyists with Romney??s consulting work for corporations. ??Wait a second, wait a second,?? protests Gingrich at one point, after Romney admits that his firm made money too. ??We didn’t do any work with the government.handbags louis vuitton I didn’t have an office on K Street,?? Romney says. It goes on. 33 minutes. Never-a-bad-hair-day Williams cuts them off and goes to commercial break.fake louis vuitton shoes 36 minutes. We??re back, with charity time for the other two candidates, who have not had much time to talk. Paul and Santorum speak about the housing market and say nothing new. Then Romney says he wants to help homeowners too.cheap gucci belts And Gingrich says he wants to repeal Dodd-Frank, the banking-regulation bill, because of its effect on smaller banks. Romney agrees. 43 minutes. Cuba question: ??Let’s say President Romney gets that phone call, and it is to say that Fidel Castro has died.louis vuitton handbags for sale And there are credible people in the Pentagon who predict upward of half a million Cubans may take that as a cue to come to the United States. What do you do??? The premise is a stretch, since Fidel has already ceded most of his government control to his brother Ra炭l. Romney tries to make a joke about how Fidel is a bad guy. ??First of all, you thank heavens that Fidel Castro has returned to his maker and will be sent to another land,?? he says.louis vuitton handbags for sale 44 minutes. Gingrich retells the joke but gets the punch line right. ??Well, Brian, first of all, I guess the only thing I would suggest is, I don’t think that Fidel is going to meet his maker. I think he’s going to go to the other place,?? he says.handbags louis vuitton Fidel-in-hell jokes must poll really well in Miami. Then Gingrich says he would authorize ??covert operations?? to overthrow the Castro regime. 46 minutes. ??I would do pretty much the opposite,?? says Paul.chanel outlet 47 minutes. Having stirred up the Cuba pot, Williams now accuses the candidates of pandering for votes. Why don??t they care as much about Chinese dissidents and embargo China? Santorum says China is not 90 miles off the coast. 49 minutes.louis vuitton shoes replica Iran time. Romney criticizes Obama: ??We ought to have an aircraft carrier in the Gulf.?? Nevermind that the U.S.louis vuitton speedyS. Abraham Lincoln is there right now. Gingrich picks up where Romney left off. ??Dictatorships respond to strength.fake uggs They don’t respond to weakness,?? he says. The same can be said of Republican primary voters. 52 minutes. Romney tears into Obama on Afghanistan, saying the President should not have reduced troops to the level that he did, allowed elections to go bad or announced a withdrawal date.ugg boots outlet 53 minutes. Paul pretty much has the opposite view. 54 minutes. Another break.gucci handbag for sale ??I’ll welcome two colleagues out here to the stage when we continue from Tampa right after this,?? says Williams. Hope for Joe Rogan and Donald Trump. Or Alec Baldwin and Tina Fey. 58 minutes.louis vuitton shoes replica We??re back. It??s National Journal??s Beth Reinhard and the Tampa Bay Times‘ Adam Smith. After Santorum gets a chance to talk about the evils of Iran, he is asked about offshore drilling. Santorum says the economy in Florida went bad in 2008 ??because of a huge spike in oil prices,?? which is like saying people watch Fear Factor to see Joe Rogan.louis vuitton belts 62 minutes. Reinhard asks a great question: How can the candidates be against bilingual balloting, even as they advertise in Spanish to Hispanics? Gingrich and Romney don??t really have answers. So they dance around the edges. Everyone onstage is against multilingual education, except Paul, who doesn??t mind if states do whatever they want.louis vuitton outlet online 66 minutes. Immigration time. Same as before, except Gingrich makes clear that he would support a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants who serve in the military. Romney agrees.louis vuitton outlet online Then Romney says of other undocumented immigrants, ??Well, the answer is self-deportation, which is, people decide they can do better by going home because they can’t find work here, because they don’t have legal documentation to allow them to work here.?? Self-deportation is one of those neologisms that gets added to the dictionary at the end of the year. Sign of the times. 70 minutes.replica gucci shoes Questions about sugar subsidies. Gingrich says you can??t beat the sugar lobby, because ??cane sugar hides behind beet sugar,?? and there are ??just too many beet-sugar districts in the United States.?? Surely someone can work that into a haiku. 71 minutes.louis vuitton backpack for sale Romney says he is against all subsidies. Then he pivots into a long rant about the awfulness of Obama. It is telling that it has taken Romney 71 minutes to get into this rant on Obama. South Carolina transformed him as a candidate.louis vuitton belts 72 minutes. Paul is asked if he supports federal funding for conservation of the everglades. He lets down his strict libertarian guard to pander for Florida votes. ??I don’t see any reason to go after that,?? he says.chanel outlet 73 minutes. Another break. Things are speeding up. 77 minutes.replica louis vuitton Some talk about Terri Schiavo, the woman in a vegetative state who became a cause c辿l竪bre for conservatives in 2005. The answers are inconsequential. 81 minutes. Space-cadet time.louis vuitton replica No, really. Romney says Obama has no space plan, and America needs a space plan. Gingrich is asked about going to Mars. He says he wants a ??leaner NASA,?? but then shares a terribly expensive list of goals: ??Going back to the moon permanently, getting to Mars as rapidly as possible, building a series of space stations and developing commercial space.gucci handbag for sale?? At least something new is happening. First time in 18 debates that anyone has talked about Mars. 84 minutes. Gingrich is asked why the Bush tax cuts in the early 2000s did not create a lot of jobs.chanel handbags for sale His answer is priceless. He channels Obama, seemingly unaware of the irony. ??In 2002 and ’03 and ’04, we’d have been in much worse shape without the Bush tax cuts,?? he says. That??s what Obama says about the stimulus bill.louis vuitton neverfull Both are basically right, though neither would give the other credit. 85 minutes. Last break. Almost there.replica chanel shoes Actually, scratch that. You will never get there. When this debate ends, there will be another. The next one is on Thursday.fake chanel shoes No joke. 90 minutes. We??re back. Romney is asked what he has done to further the cause of conservatism.fake uggs He is sort of stumped. Talks about his family and his work in the private sector, neither of which is ideological. 92 minutes. Gingrich talks about how he went to Goldwater meetings in 1964, when he would have turned 21.replica chanel shoes 93 minutes. Santorum is asked about electability. Suddenly he comes alive. It??s the best moment of any of his debates.louis vuitton shoes replica Yet few will ever notice, and it will almost certainly not matter. He makes the case that he is the only true conservative who can take on Obama, and that both Romney and Gingrich are fundamentally flawed because they are too close to the political positions of Obama. ??There is no difference between President Obama and these two gentlemen,?? Santorum says. This is not true, if you were wondering.louis vuitton neverfull 95 minutes. Paul talks about the Constitution. 97 minutes. Romney talks about RomneyCare and ObamaCare.louis vuitton speedy 98 minutes. Gingrich says, ??I never ask anyone to be for me. Because if they are for me, they vote yes and go home and say, I sure hope Newt does it. I ask people to be with me, because I think this will be a very hard, very difficult journey.fake uggs?? No doubt. 99 minutes. Romney, who talks all the time about ??restoring American greatness,?? is asked when America was last great. ??America still is great,?? Romney says, thus undercutting the meaning of his signature campaign message.replica chanel shoes 101 minutes. That??s it. See you Thursday.
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Romney’s tax disclosure: 14% effective rate, $3 million to Uncle Sam, just under $3 million to charity, half or more of which went to the LDS church.ugg boots outlet Mitt feels people’s pain in Florida. Adelson giving Gingrich another $5 million to bankroll his campaign there. Romney’s air assault is back : New polls show significant shift in Gingrich’s favor. He’s released his Freddie Mac contract.louis vuitton shoes replica AG’s mortgage fraud settlement approaches. William Galston tees up the SOTU. The Obama Justice Department prosecutes another leaker. And Rand Paul’s brush with Big Government.louis vuitton handbags for sale
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In the first umpteen Republican debates of this primary season, the crowds watching had as much of an active role as the participants, driving the energy of the debates and sometimes the day-after discussion.replica gucci shoes Whether it was booing a gay soldier or cheering the death penalty or going hog-wild over Newt Gingrich’s lambasting of CNN’s John King, the crowd functioned like the live studio audience in an old-fashioned sitcom, not just cuing the home audience with their reactions but providing the candidates with a real-time applause-o-meter and a sense of how their arguments were playing. (One of the most stunning moments in the last debate was Mitt Romney fine-tuning his position on releasing his tax returns in mid-answer, after his first, glib response got booed.) Last night at NBC’s debate in Tampa, Brian Williams cautioned the crowd that there would be no outbursts in his debate??hooting or booing or standing ovations. I can understand why: that’s not the way we conduct debates on respectable broadcast TV.handbags louis vuitton Leave the theatrics to cable! It was a statement in favor of gravitas, seriousness and respectful discussion. And boy, was it a mistake. However well-intentioned, the commandment of silence sucked the energy out of the room, leaving the candidates??especially Gingrich and Romney at center stage??like sitcom actors missing their laugh track. There was no crowd noise for Gingrich to feed off, building to one of his usual crescendoes, nor any applause (or boos) to give a sense of how Romney’s attacks against the apparent new Florida frontrunner were playing.handbags louis vuitton What’s more, the injunction against crowd noise fought against the course of debate questions that Williams chose to ask. If he wanted to conduct a serious, high-minded discussion of policy, fine??then he could have kicked off the debate asking the candidates what they would do as President. Instead, the full first half-hour of the debate consisted of questions about the campaign itself: the attacks, the repsonses to the attacks, Romney’s tax returns, Gingrich’s lobbying (or “consulting”). Williams was staging a chess match but he was prompting a boxing match, and the result was both uninformative and uninteresting.louis vuitton belts This year, of course, if you don’t like a debate, you can wait three days for the next one, and I’m guessing the crowd at CNN’s, Thursday, will not be so sedate. Maybe I should be careful what I wish for.
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2013年11月13日星期三

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The opening of the Wall Steet Journal‘s profile of young Newt’s teaching days is a gem: A year into his first full-time teaching job, Newt Gingrich applied to be college president, submitting with his application a paper titled “Some Projections on West Georgia College’s Next Thirty Years.handbags louis vuitton” Mel Steely, a history professor who played a role in Mr. Gingrich’s hiring in 1970, said the bid drew “a chuckle” from administrators. The following year, Mr. Gingrich applied to be chairman of the history department.louis vuitton replica That wasn’t greeted so kindly, Mr. Steely said, with some favoring a longtime professor and World War II veteran. “We weren’t going to make Newt our chairman, but he liked the idea of competing for almost anything,” said Mr. Steely, who later wrote a complimentary biography of Mr.fake uggs Gingrich titled “The Gentleman From Georgia.” “He figured ‘I’m capable of doing this,’ and it didn’t bother him so much that it offended anybody.” The whole story is well worth a read—he started something called the “The Institute for Directed Change and Renewal”–and, as it turns out, ’70s Gingrich was a dead ringer for Dwight Schrute. Classic.fake uggs
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Mitt Romney Team Romney has barraged South Carolina with television ads,?radio spots, mailings?and robo-calls, jabbing President Obama, defending Romney’s work at Bain Capital and denouncing GOP rivals.louis vuitton belts They’ve dialed up South Carolina voters with pre-recorded messages touting South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley’s endorsement and bashing Rick Santorum.?Restore Our Future, the pro-Romney super PAC, has already spent $2.2 million in South Carolina, portraying Gingrich as “Desperate” and blasting Santorum’s voting history in TV ads.chanel outlet The group has also sent mailers?condemning Santorum for “wasteful spending.” “Free Enterprise” “Bright Future” Restore Our Future “Desperate” “Facts” Newt Gingrich Gingrich promised to go “all out” in South Carolina and was one of the first to launch anti-Romney ads there. His campaign released a few TV ads including: “Changed” and “Timid vs. Bold”?attacking Romney’s voting record on abortion rights and economic policies.fake louis vuitton They are also sending anti-Romney mailers with similar messages. Gingrich’s team also wasted no time launching a TV ad, “The Moment,” highlighting his success in Monday’s debate. The pro-Gingrich Super PAC, Winning Our Future, said it would spend $3.4 million in South Carolina airing segments of a 30-minute documentary slamming Romney’s tenure at private equity firm Bain Capital, which they also made available online.gucci outlet online Shorter versions of the documentary hit South Carolina airwaves last week. The PAC also released a 60-second animated ad of a mock debate between Romney and Obama. “Changed” “Timid vs. Bold” “The Moment” Winning Our Future “King of Bain” “Obama’s Dream Debate” Ron Paul Paul chose Rick Santorum as his first target, calling the candidate a “serial hypocrite” in his first South Carolina TV ad.cheap gucci belts He didn’t stop there. Paul takes on Romney, Gingrich and Santorum all at once in his latest spot. Paul has also cut radio ads featuring the voice of? Republican Senator Jim DeMint, who has not endorsed any candidate.?A pro-Paul super PAC, Santa Rita, has spent over $300,000 on ad time on South Carolina broadcast and cable stations.chanel handbags for sale Its recent ads contrast Paul with “greedier” GOP rivals, Gingrich and Romney. “Betrayal” “Three of a Kind” Santa Rita? “Who is Representing You?” “No More Masks” “Bailout” Rick Perry Despite his willingness to throw barbs on the campaign trail, Rick Perry’s campaign has stayed mostly positive on South Carolina airwaves. He launched one ad showcasing his military service and gave a 30-second briefing of his life in another. Perry is also robo-calling voters with a message from Louisiana Gov.louis vuitton handbags for sale Bobby Jindal, who has endorsed him.?Perry??s super PAC, Make Us Great Again, has spent $1.77 million in the Palmetto State, and released a TV ad promoting Perry as a fair man among “elites.” “President of Honor” “Values” Make Us Great Again “Elites” Rick Santorum Santorum is stressing his electability in South Carolina with ads like “Very Best Chance.fake ugg boots” His “Easy Answer” spot highlights similarities between Romney and Obama. Santorum’s Super PAC, Red White and Blue Fund announced a $600,000 ad buy in South Carolina. So far, the Super PAC is playing nice with only pro-Santorum ads.
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GOP presidential front-runner Mitt Romney commands double-digit leads in South Carolina and Florida, but Newt Gingrich’s troubled campaign is showing signs of resurgence in the Palmetto State just three days before its pivotal primary, according to a TIME/CNN/ORC poll released Wednesday.louis vuitton handbags for sale The poll, which surveyed likely Republican voters between Friday and Tuesday, found Romney claiming 33% support in South Carolina, down four points from two weeks ago. Gingrich notches 23%, a gain of five points that marks a reversal of the steep slide he suffered in December. Rick Santorum slipped three points into third place at 16%, while the standing of Ron Paul (13%) and Rick Perry (6%) remained virtually unchanged. Gingrich’s standing-O debate performance on Monday night in Myrtle Beach, hailed by national and state activists as a pitch-perfect defense of conservatism, may have moved the needle even further.louis vuitton handbags for sale A flash poll taken Tuesday night by Rasmussen found Gingrich pulling within three points of Romney. (MORE:?With Nomination Almost in Reach, Romney Looks to Bury Gingrich Again in South Carolina) The former Speaker performs well among men, 28% of whom support him in the TIME/CNN/ORC poll (vs. 32% for Romney) and those without college degrees, while Romney’s strongest support lies among those with degrees and non-Evangelicals, of whom he claims a robust 47%. Born-again Christians continue to splinter between Gingrich (23%), Santorum (20%) and Perry (9%), and as a result, Romney claims 26% plurality support among that group.louis vuitton replica Romney also wins 26% of Tea Party backers, but 31% of them now break for Gingrich, a notable rise since early January, while 20% go to Santorum. The advertising war has been fierce in South Carolina, and though Romney and his allies are outspending all comers, the poll results suggest the first dedicated anti-Romney air attacks of the?campaign–as well as Gingrich’s relentless drumbeat on the trail– are taking their toll. Even so, there is little time left for Gingrich to close the gap, and voter opinions in South Carolina are beginning to harden. A majority, 57%, now say they will definitely support their preferred candidate in Saturday’s primary.chanel handbags for sale (PHOTOS: Political Pictures from Jan.7-13) In Florida, where 53% of likely voters say they’re already locked into their vote for Jan. 31, Romney is running away with the race. Forty-three percent of likely voters now back the former Massachusetts governor there, an 18-point leap since early December.replica louis vuitton That makes for more than a 20-point lead on his closest rival, Santorum, who also shot up 18 points over the same time period, but started from near-zero support. Gingrich clocks in at third with 18%, a stunning 30-point drop since early December. Santorum’s rise has been fueled by the backing of born-again Christians, 34% of whom now say they’ll vote for the former Senator, but Romney dominates in every other demographic group, including conservatives and Tea Partyers. Methodology: The poll surveyed 1,508 adults, including 472 registered Republicans, by telephone between Jan.gucci handbag for sale 13 and 17 in Florida, and identified 391 likely voters. In South Carolina, a total of 1,525 adults were interviewed over the same time period and 505 likely voters were identified. All respondents were asked about their registration status and basic demographics, and the sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. The results carry a sampling error of +/-5 percentage points in Florida and +/-4.ugg boots outlet5 points in South Carolina.
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2013年11月9日星期六

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